Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.441657 1.643460 1.863047 2.119699 2.411442 2.732770 3.113576
2025-11-02 1.119044 1.391567 1.714206 2.124254 2.631586 3.238879 4.021492
2025-11-09 0.916999 1.211349 1.580847 2.078569 2.731640 3.559775 4.690736
2025-11-16 0.796569 1.105755 1.512970 2.088284 2.880381 3.933326 5.441215
2025-11-23 0.711855 1.031658 1.470788 2.117409 3.045634 4.331029 6.249117
2025-11-30 0.631984 0.952032 1.408253 2.105464 3.144489 4.637015 6.947830
2025-12-07 0.558444 0.871601 1.333561 2.063967 3.190397 4.863609 7.543000
2025-12-14 0.492609 0.794581 1.254437 2.004842 3.199485 5.030016 8.054405
2025-12-21 0.444981 0.740210 1.203376 1.981834 3.258505 5.272336 8.698158
2025-12-28 0.422965 0.724239 1.210276 2.050133 3.466427 5.762136 9.775879
2026-01-04 0.385070 0.677833 1.162905 2.023581 3.514115 5.993718 10.443713
2026-01-11 0.365279 0.660089 1.161074 2.072594 3.691517 6.451816 11.529749
2026-01-18 0.332489 0.619505 1.121849 2.063000 3.784416 6.804816 12.523781
2026-01-25 0.304289 0.584783 1.090575 2.066653 3.905774 7.227471 13.702736
2026-02-01 0.273061 0.540558 1.036885 2.022223 3.932306 7.478995 14.588047
2026-02-08 0.252560 0.514345 1.013509 2.031675 4.059698 7.926210 15.885044
2026-02-15 0.236520 0.494978 1.000891 2.060016 4.225327 8.459624 17.400681
2026-02-22 0.217760 0.467907 0.970142 2.048392 4.309130 8.839868 18.645933
2026-03-01 0.198101 0.436712 0.927739 2.008014 4.329108 9.092814 19.652768
2026-03-08 0.178948 0.404442 0.879718 1.950481 4.306484 9.254840 20.481922
2026-03-15 0.164889 0.381764 0.849593 1.928092 4.356322 9.571598 21.673086
2026-03-22 0.159419 0.377768 0.859399 1.994552 4.607492 10.341314 23.936462
2026-03-29 0.147207 0.356907 0.829739 1.968715 4.648205 10.653742 25.199167